lot of the theories as to why we're imminently going to create an AGI are based on a naive extrapolation of computational power. It's almost will do the induction of more and more computational power and AI has already gotten good at vision and beating us a chess and at video games. So therefore it's going to start thinking soon. Another offshoot that I want to discuss. Is this idea that humans are this resource consumers on the earth and we're eating up all the Earth's resources. So having more humans on the earth is a bad idea. Whereas if you believe that knowledge comes to creativity,
Petit than any child born tomorrow, could be the next Einstein or the next Fineman, and discover something that will change the world forever with creativity that has nonlinear outputs and effects.
We in the west have this paternalistic attitude towards certain countries around the world. But if only we were able to get the energy to them fast to get the natural resources, to them faster, not put impediments in the way of them polluting, the planet, then they would be able to have societies like ours access to
Fast internet like ours, cheap Computing like ours where children could get onto those computers and solve the problems, not own their communities, but even the problems that we have, because we need more creativity out there. But, at the moment, there's a whole bunch of political forces that are pessimistic about the possibilities for the Earth, being able to enable people to thrive off into the distant future. But at the moment, we're very concerned about the pollution or the loss of certain species, and these are legitimate concern for some people but it should never be at the expense of the
Long-term Vision that perhaps we can solve all of those problems and far more if only we could have progress at a faster rate by using the resources that we have available to us, this is in
question why the world always seems to be full of more? Pessimist an optimist especially when we still live with mostly enlightenment-era values and such tremendous Innovation. There probably multiple reasons for that but it's just easier to be a pessimist and an optimist. It's hard to guess how life is going to improve its easier to linearly extrapolate, how it's going to get worse. You could also argue that the risk of
Ruin is so large that you can't come back from it that maybe we hardwired to be pessimist because if you're correct when you're optimistic, then you have a small gain but if you are wrong when you're optimistic and you get eaten by a tiger and it goes to 0. So maybe we're hardwired to be pessimistic in that sense.
