E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more

There's a series of court challenges we can talk about. I think that they're unlikely to prevail—very, very unlikely. I think Joe Biden will be the next president. We can kind of compare this to Bush v. Gore from 2000, and if you want to compare Trump's case to Gore's case, it's weaker in every respect.

I think COVID-19 is going to be a distant memory by next summer. I think we'll have one to two quarters of transition, but I think that once the vaccine's widely available, plus the treatment and testing for the people who slip through the cracks... I tend to think things are going to snap back very fast and COVID-19 will just be this bad memory.

If you take 90% efficacy, and you assume that at most in the United States 40% of people will take the actual [COVID-19] vaccination, you'll have 36% of the population covered, which is still not enough to get the R0 less than 1.

In exit polling, 45% of Republicans with college degrees expressed fear that their careers could be at risk if their views became known compared to only 23% of Democrats saying that.

Anybody who's not actively virtue signaling on Twitter for Biden is a Trump voter.

Mark my words: San Francisco will file for bankruptcy in the next 10 years ... Maybe 15 years, but yeah.

I think voters want a presidency they can forget about. I think Trump's sort of Achilles heel is he demanded too much of the voters' constant time and attention. There was like this psychic cost to it.

I think that it's very likely that the Donald Trump that runs for president in 2024 is Donald Trump Jr.

I've built businesses in San Francisco since 2006, and I will not build another business in San Francisco—and I hear the same from other entrepreneurs ... This is just not a place to build businesses. The city is basically saying 'We don't want you here.'